In the event you learn that article I feel it was called “dogfight for Indian MRCA” which was posted a couple of pages again, the author clearly explains the Chinese doctrine of using Cruise and SRBMs and even tactical nukes to target Airbases and IAF belongings and the air strikes come much after. During which case something like Gripen may be extra survivable after the initial strikes. LOL – the IAF plans for a similar number of LCAs because it does for the MMRCA. Both have ~126 aircraft deliberate with rest choices! IAF has also now requested for five.5 extra squadrons to 45 from present 39.5.
However, conversely , by not joining the JSF program , apart from the financial aspect , India didn’t lose anything.India is better served technologically by working with the Russians for the FGFA or any 3rd get together like SaaB for its AMCA improvement because these partners are more amenable to know-how sharing and codevelopment moderately than any US co. A more siginifcant report nonetheless comes from Antony who stated politics won’t affect the deal, clearly pointing the way towards a European aircraft. I believe the Gripen will stand extra of an opportunity witht he MoD because of its value.
So, even when the LCA MK-II was to enter production in 2020, going by your claims, assuming a 4 year design to production cycle, and actually, even assuming 15 a yr versus 20, by 2025, at least 75 MK-2s would have been delivered, along with the 40 MK-1s! Add the last few LSPs which too are to make it to the IAF, and thats ~a hundred and twenty LCAs. The IAF quite clearly desires a multi-role aircraft with emphasis on performance since avionics are in flux largely and will be specifically developed to be more fashionable as time progresses. However, if the platform has poor acceleration, climb rate and maneuvering efficiency, that can put it almost certainly on the backside of the IAF’s wishlist.
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My recommendation to the Indian Govt. & MoD: break up MMRCA buy between Gripen & Rafale as a proviso for JV with SAAB on AMCA and Dassault on nEUROn (a renegotiation of offset terms may be required). Bits ‘n’ bobs from a new version of Eurofighter World. Very much focused on India and the MMRCA competitors. And for tomorrow, you help heavier 5G programs, and a UCAV which is not even round or prepared, as versus aircrafts which the IAF would have a significantly better probability of having prepared.